John Mearsheimer is a geo-political expert who I have listened to for a couple of years. His perspective is sound and valid IMO. Ukraine has now lost the momentum and Russia will win this war of attrition from this point forward. Russian experts estimate that some 444,000 Ukrainians have died fighting this war (to date). Zelenskyy, however, claims that only 31,000 Ukrainians have been killed in the conflict. My sense (from other reporters) is that over 300,000 Ukrainians have died and another 200,000 have been injured. Russia has probably lost over 200,000.
Recent wins by Russia (in the Donbass) are now evident and this may mean that additional territory will be claimed (annexed) by Russia in the coming months. Some say the end result will be 40% of old Ukraine will be annexed to Russia. Others are saying that Ukraine has an opportunity to negotiate a settlement now which could settle the issue with Russia gaining only the 18% that it currently has annexed. My sense is that this is unlikely as the WEST and the official Western media still wants more killing to ensue. Their view is that Ukraine is winning (a pure delusion) IMO!
The failed policies of Biden and the West will not end until next year (after the next election period). If Trump wins in November, my sense is that the Ukraine war will come to an end. Russia will accept a rump Ukraine that is neutral and not part of NATO. The WEST will accept this outcome later in 2025. Between now and then some additional 200,000 Ukrainians will die and maybe a like number of Russians. It's all a shameful situation and the moral ground does not favor the WEST IMO.
I have said for the past two years that Russia will not lose this war to Ukraine. The destiny of Russia (as a Nation) is on the line and they have the clout to destroy all of Ukraine if they should choose this option. Ukraine can not win without the FULL support of the WEST (financially and militarily) and this is now waning rapidly. The America people want this war to end as America has many more serious problems to deal with (much greater than Ukraine). The coming election of 2024 will bring out all these dire problems to the voters. The official media needs to get current on what is happening in Ukraine and inform the American people. This is unlikely until AFTER November 5.
Listen to the interview with John Mearsheimer to discern what has happened (historically) and then what is happening on the ground NOW. John has great wisdom and his perspective is much in agreement with mine. Ukraine needs to elect new leaders and start over with a new model for their country. Zelenskyy must go and a new leader needs to emerge. The war situation is dire for Ukraine and they will lose thousands more in this conflict if they continue with their current policies. That is my perspective.
I am: Donald B. Swenson, Economist/Philosopher, http://kingdomecon.wordpress.com.
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