As a military observer and prior Vietnam veteran, I would propose that the leadership in Russia has basically THREE alternatives for dealing with the Ukraine situation. The decisions of Putin and his advisers will be key going forward. Let's review these THREE alternatives to discern their relevance for this WAR over in the Ukraine:
1. Give up!
2. Expand Mobilization!
3. Go Nuclear!
The idea of 'giving up' is always one alternative. America gave up on Afghanistan after some 20 years of fighting. Biden concluded that this was America's best alternative. The consequences of 'giving up' produce a new environment for the country which has been under occupation and also the country which gave up. The 'image' of a loser is never favorable for the nation which 'gives up'. Their fighting options would decline for years and their future as an EMPIRE would decline quickly!
Russia says that their EMPIRE is important to them (going forward) and they desire to promote their orthodox values for their nation (long run). My sense is that 'giving up' is not on the horizon (for Russia) as of today. Putin would need to step down or die and new leadership would need to emerge (for this alternative to be viable). If Russia wants to continue their EMPIRE they must have borders which are protected and secure. This is the current mindset of Vladimir and his administration. I think this mindset will continue! The talk in Russia is now to promote a NEW EMPIRE for the Russian Federation.
The second alternative is to 'expand the number of warriors' to a multiple million number. My estimate is that it might take 2 or 3 million warriors to win (the necessary battles) over the Ukrainian military (which has the backing of America, NATO, and the WEST). Ukraine is actually a PROXY for the WEST. Money and war materials are derived from all the 32 nations of the WEST. This makes this war difficult for Russia. Russia is fighting the values and money of the WEST. This makes this war a global affair IMO.
A war that is really supported by the WEST (fully) will produce a 'no win' situation for Russia if they use conventional strategies. The WEST can increase the military hardware indefinitely and provide unlimited MONEY for the government of Ukraine. This makes it nearly impossible for Russia to win this war using conventional means. The original mindset (of Putin) was that the WAR was against Ukraine (not the entire WEST). The situation has changed and this means the strategy of Putin must also change!
Russia could mobilize to 2 or 3 million warriors if they desire. This might produce the CLOUT to win over the Ukraine military (even with the backing of the WEST). Will this option be necessary going forward? My sense is that it will (if Russia desires to win using conventional warfare). Putin wants his EMPIRE to survive and grow and this means he MUST win this war with Ukraine or DIE trying. The consequences of LOSING can not be accepted IF the Russian EMPIRE is to survive!
The third alternative is to 'go nuclear' and destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine completely. The WEST might respond with their NUCLEAR options or they might let Russia win this war. It is unknown (how events would transpire) as the NUCLEAR option has never been tried by Russia. America won the 2nd World War with their nuclear option. Bombing Japan ended this war. Russia might view this event as evidence that they can also win using the NUCLEAR option.
My personal sense is that Russia (under Putin's leadership) will NOT 'give up' and return the territories they have annexed back to Ukraine. This is NOT acceptable to Putin or his administration IMO. This means that an EXPANDED MOBILIZATION and/or using the NUCLEAR OPTION is likely to happen going forward. Russia can not win with the status quo situation. An expansion of the number of warriors to (say) three million might do the job. And this must happen soon IMO.
The other option is going NUCLEAR and bombing the infrastructure of UKRAINE into the stone age. They would also need to eliminate Zelenskyy's government at the same time. This option might be on the table as Russia does have the capability to GO NUCLEAR. They might start with 'tactical' nuclear bombs and then add punch so that the 'infrastructure' of Ukraine is completely DESTROYED. They would also need to assume that the WEST would NOT respond by bombing Moscow and other major cities within Russia.
World War Three has started IMO. I see no end to this war given the mindset of our leaders. The Ukraine war is basically between the WEST and RUSSIA (as of now). The WEST has unlimited money and war materials to GIVE Ukraine (indefinitely). This means Russia must be thinking in terms of a huge EXPANSION (in mobilization) and/or using the NUCLEAR option. We might see all this happening in 2023 as this WAR is now GLOBAL. Will China change their mindset and HELP RUSSIA?
The END of humanity is here unless we get NEW leaders who can build a world with a NEW MODEL and NEW THINKING. The old model of 'might makes right' is DEAD IMO. Winning a war today is not really possible without destroying most of the planet. Our nuclear bombs would destroy most of our population centers and then who would WIN after this destruction? Are we now at the END of historical CIVILIZATION? Prophecy seems to suggest that this is reality!
Personally, I look to a HIGHER POWER to resolve these issues. If our Higher Power does not resolve these issues then EVOLUTION wins. Man destroys his world and the planet goes back to DEAD matter (chemicals). Life ends for humanity. My HOPE is that this situation does not occur. Are we all DEAD matter (chemicals)? or is LIFE a spiritual journey which ends as described in Revelation? We could find out in the NEAR future. Science seems to bet on 'matter' and religion bets on a Higher Power!
Watch the Ukraine War situation for indications of where events will go as the END arrives for mankind. Personally, you know my viewpoint. A Higher Power will INTERVENE at some point. My view is that Prophecy is valid and the text in Revelation is also valid. This means the KINGDOM AGE is coming after all this tribulation and trial. But I could also be WRONG. We could be mere fish in a pond of chemicals. Science seems to suggest this reality. The future should be interesting and revealing! Think for yourself to discern reality! 2023 could be the turning point!
I am: Donald B. Swenson, Economist/Philosopher, donaldswenson.blogspot.com. Also, http://kingdomecon.wordpress.com.
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